See it before you sign up
These are real backtests on bundled futures data, run right now through the same Honesty Score engine the paid product uses — no signup, no cherry-picking. The score is deliberately hard to impress: it corrects for sample size, skew and kurtosis, and a backtest that hasn't survived out-of-sample validation is capped at grade C. We show you the misses, not just the wins.
ES · 1dGo long the E-mini S&P when RSI(14) dips below 30; hold 5 days.
Partial score (4/6) — run walk-forward and SPY-correlation decomposition to fill in: Fold stability (overfitting heuristic) + SPY correlation R² (independence).
Partial score — the overfitting checks (CPCV / PBO) haven't run. Sign up and hit /validate for the full picture; it can't go green until then.
5Win rate80%Sharpe (ann.)1.82Max DD0.3%Total return21.7%NQ · 1dGo long the Nasdaq-100 when the 20-day SMA crosses above the 50-day; hold 10 days.
Partial score (4/6) — run walk-forward and SPY-correlation decomposition to fill in: Fold stability (overfitting heuristic) + SPY correlation R² (independence).
Partial score — the overfitting checks (CPCV / PBO) haven't run. Sign up and hit /validate for the full picture; it can't go green until then.
6Win rate83%Sharpe (ann.)1.02Max DD0.4%Total return7.3%CL · 1dGo long crude oil on a 20-day high breakout; hold 5 days.
Partial score (4/6) — run walk-forward and SPY-correlation decomposition to fill in: Fold stability (overfitting heuristic) + SPY correlation R² (independence). The bootstrap 95% CI for the Sharpe includes 0 — the edge is not yet robustly distinguishable from zero.
Partial score — the overfitting checks (CPCV / PBO) haven't run. Sign up and hit /validate for the full picture; it can't go green until then.
20Win rate60%Sharpe (ann.)0.13Max DD23.4%Total return1.9%Hypothetical results — not investment advice, and no guarantee of future performance. Disclaimers
Methodology: deterministic backtests via the native engine on committed daily continuous-futures bars (approximate front-month, no contract rolls). Costs and slippage are applied; entries fill next-bar-open. The verdict is a partial Honesty Score — the walk-forward / overfitting checks run only after you validate a strategy in the app.